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Blackjack odds

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Some Facts about Blackjack Odds and Probabilities

Blackjack is thrilling and attractive because of its simplicity and hot combination of skill and pure luck. Many amateur gamblers play blackjack basing upon their intuition and win. When they start to understand the game better this supernatural strategy fails them and they switch to solid mathematical principles and understanding of blackjack probability and blackjack odds. 

You should put up with the fact that the casino always has an advantage over gamblers. In most unprofitable blackjack house advantage is 7-8% because the dealer is the last player to act. But this painful edge can be significantly lower if you use a proper blackjack basic strategy. You can reduce the blackjack odds down to 0.5% by using advanced card counting systems. 


Blackjack Probability of Busting when you Hit

In the game of Blackjack there is always a probability of your hand busting (score over 21 points). The following chart will be helpful if you wish to avoid blackjack busting.


Hand Value

% Bust If You Hit

21

100%

20

92%

19

85%

18

77%

17

69%

16

62%

15

58%

14

56%

13

39%

12

31%

11 or Less

0%



Player Advantage vs. Dealer Card Faced Up

Study the following chart to see the chances of the dealer to bust taking into consideration the up card he/she has. As you can see, the dealer has the highest chance to go bust when he/she has a 5 faced up. The third column shows your advantage of using basic blackjack strategy.


Dealer Up Card

Dealer Bust %

Player Advantage % with Basic Strategy

2

35.30%

9.8%

3

37.56%

13.4%

4

40.28%

18.0%

5

42.89%

23.2%

6

42.08%

23.9%

7

25.99%

14.3%

8

23.86%

5.4%

9

23.34%

-4.3%

J,Q,K

21.43%

-16.9%

A

11.65%

-16.0%